Here is a list of some dubious career advice that I've been given over the years. The degree of dubiousness varies.
1981 : "Stay away from COBOL...it's a dead language."
1982: "Structured analysis, structured design, structured code...everything else is crap"
1983: "There won't be any more batch processing within 5 years, everything will be online"
1984: "Find another line of work. 4GLs will make programmers obsolete."
1985: "What, you're still using VSAM? Get a database!"
1986: "Hierarchical data bases are obsolete. If you're not relational, you're not in the game!"
1987: "*Still* using COBOL? You dumb #$@!"
1988: "CASE tools will solve the application backlog"
1989: "Code reuse will solve the application backlog"
1990: "Forget CASE tools. Desktop development is much faster!"
1991: "The mainframe is dead. Go client server"
1992: "Find another line of work. Overseas outsourcing will put you out of a job"
1993: "OO analysis, design and development will solve the application backlog"
1994: "What? You're still using IMS??"
1995: "Forget Cobol. Learn C".
1996: "Forget C. Learn C++".
1997: "Y2K will be the end of the world as we know it"
1998: "Okay, maybe COBOL isn't dead....but it will be after Y2K is finished"
1999: "All future application development will be in JAVA"
2000: "The mainframe is the best platform for e-business"
2001-present: I stopped listening to advice. :-)
The jury is still out on some of these items.....
2009-11-26
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